As the United States-China trade war intensifies in 2025. However, Bitcoin (BTC) whales send bullish signals by holding and accumulating more BTC, providing hope for the cryptocurrency market. What does this mean for Bitcoin’s future in economic uncertainty?
Turbulent global markets: United States – China Trade War Heats
2025 brought about a storm of economic tension, largely due to the escalation of the trade war between the United States and China. After re-election, Trump doubled down on his “America First” agenda, announcing tariffs on imports from multiple countries, with special attention to China. These policies have raised concerns about global trade disruptions, with experts warning of potential segmentation of supply chains.
On April 4, 2025, CNBC reported that Beijing imposed retaliatory tariffs of more than 125% on U.S. goods, targeting key sectors such as agriculture and fuel. The escalation marked a significant shift from China’s previous modest reaction and other measures have been taken, including adding 11 U.S. companies to their “unreliable entity list” and exerting export controls on 16 other companies.
The ongoing US-China trade war is no longer just a small conflict, but a full-scale economic showdown, with both countries digging their feet. For crypto markets historically sensitive to macroeconomic events, this raises the question: How will the leading cryptocurrency Bitcoin be weather?
Beacon of Hope: BTC Whale Confidence in Cryptocurrency Market
Amid uncertainty over the U.S.-China trade war, Bitcoin whales send surprising bullish signals to the market. Despite global economic turmoil, the whales have not sold their shares. Instead, they amass more BTCAs noted in the same analysis, this behavior reflects their behavior in the lateral market from August to September 2024.
BTC whale action
CryptoQuant’s exchange whale ratio measures the ratio of the top 10 inflows to total exchange inflows, but remains low, indicating that these large holders have minimal sales pressure.
Data on Bitcoin Exchange Ratio – Source: Encryption
The current situation is significantly different from what we might expect during the crisis. Historically, whales are known to exit the market before a major recession. For example, during the 2020 Covid-19 pandemic crash, the whale allocated its holdings, and then the price of Bitcoin fell from $10,000 in March 2020 to below $4,000. Their early exports dropped sharply, which demonstrated their ability to expect market shifts.
But in 2025, despite trade war concerns, the whales remained firm and even improved their status.
What does this mean for the market
The accumulation of BTC whales is a powerful signal for crypto markets, especially for retail investors who often seek tips from these large players.
When whales hold or buy more bitcoins, this shows that they believe in the long-term value of the asset and expect the price to rise. Such behavior may have a calming impact on the market, reassuring smaller investors who may panic during periods of uncertainty.
Historical background
Comparing the current situation with past crises provides further insights. The whale sold its shares during the Covid-19 crash, indicating a lack of confidence in the short-term prospects of Bitcoin. By contrast, their current accumulation suggests that they view the trade war as a temporary correction within the broader bull week rather than a structural crisis.
Furthermore, many experts suggest that the fear of a trade war is a “created crisis” rather than a real economic collapse – as in 19. The fact that whales, unlike in 2020, have not withdrawn suggests they think it is an opportunity to buy dipping sauce, and that fact is expected to resume once trade tensions subside.
What is Bitcoin facing? A new era of stability and growth
As the U.S.-China trade war continues to dominate headlines, Bitcoin’s future looks increasingly promising due to confidence shown by whales and wider market trends.
Maintain advantage in encrypted space
Bitcoin remains the undisputed leader in the cryptocurrency market, and its strengths (BTC.D) remain strong. Despite the increase in Altcoins, Bitcoin’s market share has been supported by increasing institutional adoption and support policies from the Trump administration. Trump’s pro-Cretto stance, including the establishment of a Bitcoin task force and proposals for the national crypto protection zone, further consolidates Bitcoin’s position as the preferred digital asset. The accumulation of whales will only enhance this dominance, as they show that Bitcoin will remain the highest cryptocurrency here.
Source: TradingView
Development beyond “adventure assets”
Historically, Bitcoin has been tagged as a “risk asset” and is often associated with speculative markets such as technology stocks. However, current market dynamics suggest that Bitcoin is depriving this reputation and becoming a reliable store of value similar to gold. Several analyses predict that once the trade war fears subside, both the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and China will resume quantitative easing (QE) to stimulate its economy.
This influx of liquidity is expected to benefit from assets such as gold, followed by Bitcoin, which is increasingly considered “digital gold.” Many researchers support this view, pointing out that while Bitcoin may not be a safe haven during a crisis, it can act as a diversification in some cases, especially as a hedge against inflation.
The fact that whales are accumulating rather than selling is consistent with this bullish outlook suggests that Bitcoin may see huge gains once the global economy is stable.
Read more: Bitcoin plunges under Trump’s tariff policy
Trump prepares to negotiate with China in business statements
Despite escalating global political and trade tensions, especially for China, the White House said President Donald Trump is still ready to negotiate with China. The news quickly sparked a positive reaction in the cryptocurrency market, especially for the price of Bitcoin.
in conclusion
BTC Whales’ confidence in the US-China trade war provides a positive signal for investors. By holding and accumulating, they suggest that Bitcoin will storm and become stronger, which could be the primary store of value in the post-crisis economy. At present, the whale’s message is clear: Stay in the course – the craze of Bitcoin is far away.
