Will Cardino (Aida) broke out in June 2025?
This in-depth analysis assesses ADA’s price outlook from multiple perspectives (including technical charting patterns, upcoming network upgrades on Cardano) and the global macroeconomic environment to provide cautiously optimistic but objective predictions.
Current market stage and emotions
As of late May 2025, Cardano (ADA) traded at about $0.75 after its early highs were corrected. Earlier in 2025, as the broader cryptocurrency market entered the merger phase, the ADA almost touched $1.10 before retreating to $0.70.
Source: Coingecko
The ADA has lost 22% of its value since the start of the second quarter, mainly due to earnings pressure and more cautious investor sentiment. However, in recent weeks, the ADA has shown signs of stability, combining in the range of $0.65-0.75. This indicates the potential formation and possible recovery of the short-term bottom if a positive catalyst occurs.
From a technical point of view, chart patterns and indicators begin to indicate a shift in momentum. In the basic aspect, Cardano remains structurally strong: the project continues to launch technological upgrades, from major hard fork implementations to 2-layer expansion solutions – and the chain metrics show significant activity and resilience throughout the ADA ecosystem.
Technical analysis: Bullish signals are gradually forming
The ADA’s price chart begins to signal cautiously optimistic. Over the daily (1d) timeframe, the ADA appears to consolidate the classic bullish continuation pattern in the rising triangle, especially as it recovers from its recent lows.
Specifically, the top of the triangle is at $0.74 at the resistance level, while the higher lows form an upward sloping support trend line in the range of $0.63-0.67. This structure reflects the strengthening demand: each callback is reached at a higher level of higher purchases, even if the seller temporarily earns $0.74 in revenue.
Other technical indicators also reinforce this cautious bullish narrative. Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around the neutral 55-60 area, indicating that the ADA has not been over-traded and there is still room for climbing before market sentiment gets hot.
Meanwhile, the ADA’s 50-day moving average (MA50) is trending upwards and is approaching crossovers that exceed the 200-day moving average (MA200). If confirmed, this will form a golden cross, a classic bullish signal that is often seen as the beginning of a medium-term uptrend.
Source: TradingView
Historically, Ada last formed a Golden Cross in 2021 – before a strong rally. Therefore, investors are closely following the MA50/MA200 crossover to confirm the update momentum.
Over the higher time frame, the ADA also exhibits a larger decline wedge formation on the weekly chart, a pattern that is often associated with bullish reversals. If ADA bursts on the upper trend line of the wedge, the first technical target could be about $1.32, which could be about 117% potential upside at the current level.
The technical outlook for ADA in June 2025 looks stronger than earlier this year. If the ADA holds $0.63–$0.67 and breaks $0.74, it may target the 0.80 zones of the next step. Current trends suggest that gradual breakthrough and accumulation phases are more likely than sharp near-term declines.
Basic Analysis: Cardano maintains a strong foundation as its ecosystem progresses
Cardano has long been recognized for its organized, research-driven development approach, often slower than competitors, but has a greater emphasis on security, peer-reviewed research and long-term scalability.
Currently, Cardano is approaching the final stage of the Voltaire era, which focuses on comprehensive decentralization and chain politics. The most notable milestone recently is the “Zhang” hard fork, which was successfully launched in September 2024. This upgrade marks Cardano’s most important protocol change in two years and transforms ADA from utility tokens to real governance assets.
Thanks to this upgrade, ADA holders are now entitled to vote on key decisions that impact the future of blockchain, such as electing governance representatives and guiding the direction of the protocol’s development. This represents a significant leap forward in making Cardano a fully self-sustaining, decentralized ecosystem.
In addition to improving governance, Cardano’s technology infrastructure is evolving to address scalability and interoperability challenges. Hydra, the blockchain’s layer 2 solution, has made significant progress.
Several teams of developers have successfully tested lightweight applications such as simple payment systems and games – on the Hydra nodes, demonstrating its potential to bring high throughput, low latency capabilities to the Cardano network. This could position Cardano as a serious competitor to some of the fastest blockchains in the industry.
In addition, Cardano is investing heavily in cross-chain compatibility. Intersek Bridge is a native EVM-compatible solution that is currently in the testnet stage. Once deployed, it will allow decentralized applications built on Ethereum to be ported seamlessly and operated on Cardano, opening up new opportunities for multi-chain DAPPS and increase developer adoption.
All in all, Cardano’s fundamentals remain solid. Cardano’s upgrades and multi-chain focus enhances its technological advantages and supports long-term ecosystem growth.
Cardano Ecosystem: Chain metrics that show maturity in capital rotation
From the perspective of ecosystem and chain metrics, Cardano ended Q1 2025 with promising development and lingering challenges. According to Messari’s Cardano Q1 2025 report, the Cardano Community Finance Department increased to 1.7 billion ADA, equivalent to about $1.1 billion.
The fund allocated to development grants through Cardano’s catalyst governance mechanism, highlighting the strong financial foundations of the agreement, which have been established over years of cautious growth.
In terms of decentralized finance (DEFI), Cardano’s total value lock-in (TVL) ended at $360 million in the first quarter – a quarter-quarter decline of 29%. While this decline slightly outweighs the average decline of 26% for the broader bias sector, it partially offsets it in signs of diversity and sector resilience within the Cardano network.
Source: Messari
One such indicator is the TVL Diversity Index, which rose 13% to score 9. Now more protocols support Cardano Defi, thus reducing dependency on some major projects. Meanwhile, the stable segment on Cardano is gaining appeal.
Source: Messari
New Stablecoins such as USDA and USDM (USDM) have increased Cardano’s Stablecoin market cap by 30% QOQ to nearly $30 million.
Cardano’s ecosystem is maturing, growing steadily between Defi, Stablecoins and other key sectors. The network is transitioning from a concentrated ecosystem to an ecosystem marked by richer, more diverse infrastructure.
Cardano’s daily trading stayed around 30k to 35k in the early second quarter and rose to 50k/day in mid-May 2025.
Grayscale raises ADA to 20% of its smart contract fund in 2024, which shows strong institutional confidence.
But despite favorable ecosystem news, major short-term headwinds of ADA prices lack sustained capital inflows. Hantiment data shows that whales sold 150 million ADAs in late April 2025, creating short-term pressure.
Source: santiment
Cardano’s fundamentals are growing, but the short-term price of ADA still depends on capital flows and whale activity.
ADA price forecast for June 2025
According to the above analysis, Cardano’s price outlook (ADA) tends toward a modest upward trend in June 2025, despite the measured optimism. As long as the ADA keeps its support zone between $0.70 and $0.74 and benefits from potential market catalysts. For example, market rebounds during the period or positive ecosystem news – tokens may exceed the 0.80-0.84 range during the June period.
Such a move will be the launch pad for the mid-term uptrend in June, especially if the ADA can establish a stable foothold above $0.80, which will be a key confirmation point for further bullish momentum.
However, investors should be cautious. The crypto market is essentially volatile and full of uncertainty. Although technology and fundamental analysis provide valuable insights into possible scenarios, price predictions can never be guaranteed. The prudent approach that many experts respond is to be effective and closely monitor the risks of market development.
Essentially, despite the encouraging signs of recovery from the ADA, a disciplined strategy remains crucial to navigating the coming months.
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